Open Type with Measured Outcomes
What kind of open did the session have, and what did sessions do after opens like it?

R is the median range of the 20 previous sessions, known before the open; the tolerance is 0.05 R and the drive 0.20 R. Under 30 cases it reads "few cases", and a cell that fails the false-discovery control reads same as chance. It reads 1-minute bars.
One of our guides' tables on the same thing the indicator measures, with its sample and its date range.
Open type in ES and what the session did afterwards
ES
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| Open type | Sessions | Range above its median | IB exceeded on both sides | Close inside the prior value area | Sessions (n) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open-Drive | 21.9% | 47.2% | 27.7% | 17.3% | 271 |
| Open-Test-Drive | 23.6% | 58.6% | 19.9% | 17.5% | 292 |
| Open-Rejection-Reverse | 23.2% | 55.1% | 33.1% | 19.9% | 287 |
| Open-Auction inside the prior range | 20.5% | 37.2% | 33.2% | 30.0% | 253 |
| Open-Auction outside the prior range | 10.8% | 41.4% | 28.6% | 11.3% | 133 |
| All sessions | 100.0% | 49.0% | 28.3% | 19.9% | 1,236 |
n = 1,236 · 2022-01-03 to 2026-10-16 · historical futures data
ES, regular session (9:30-16:00 ET), 3-Jan-2022 to 16-Oct-2026: 1,236 sessions with an open type. The type is classified from the first 30 minutes on a scale R = median range of the 20 previous sessions: Open-Drive moves away from the open without coming back; Open-Test-Drive tests one side first and then moves away towards the other; Open-Rejection-Reverse moves to one side and closes minute 30 on the other; the rest is Open-Auction. Which side is never stored. Each percentage is compared with all sessions of the period (last row) and goes through a false-discovery control over the whole table. Different from all sessions: Open-Test-Drive, range above its median: 58.6% [52.8–64.1] vs 49.0%; Open-Test-Drive, IB exceeded on both sides: 19.9% [15.7–24.8] vs 28.3%; Open-Auction inside the prior range, range above its median: 37.2% [31.4–43.3] vs 49.0%; Open-Auction inside the prior range, close inside the prior value area: 30.0% [24.7–36.0] vs 19.9%; Open-Auction outside the prior range, close inside the prior value area: 11.3% [7.0–17.8] vs 19.9%. The rest is the same as chance. Size, frequency and location only; it is what happened, not a signal.
Yes. All of them are public and open source on TradingView, and you add them with a free account. TradingView's free plan limits how many indicators you can have on a chart at once.
Key Levels and Setup State fix each level when its period or window ends; only the table updates inside the bar. The Session Profile of the session in progress changes until the close, and a finished session's profile no longer changes.
The data of the chart you open them on. The historical frequencies are embedded in the indicator and say up to which date they were measured and over how many sessions.
Because a historical percentage describes how much and how often the market moved in the past, not where it will go today. That is why every figure comes with its sample and none of them suggests trades.