resources

Report catalog and glossary, open without an account

Which reports exist and what each Market Profile term means -- this is public. What requires an account is seeing the real numbers calculated on the data.

Free PDF: 20 futures figures with their sample

The figures from our studies on one sheet, each with its n and date range (in Spanish for now). Subscribe to the weekly report and download it right away; the link also comes in the welcome email.

Report catalog: 104 variants for ES, with their session and threshold cuts

market open & close

  • gap fill (RTH session)
  • gap fill (London session)
  • gap fill (Asia session)
  • gap fill (calendar day)
  • gap fill by gap size
  • new week opening gap (NWOG)
  • IB: single/double break
  • IB confluence — which side breaks first + where it closes (includes the 'which side first' data)
  • IB: 30 or 60 minutes, wick or close
  • IB: break rate by IB size
  • IB as a % of the day's range
  • IB: extension beyond the range
  • IB: retracement from the extreme
  • IB: extension by IB size
  • Opening range: 5, 15 or 30 minutes, wick or close
  • does the opening range predict the range of the rest of the day?
  • New York session range of yesterday: continue or reverse on the break?
  • previous day's range — continue or reverse on the break?
  • Does today's open print above, inside or below yesterday's range?
  • day type (Market Profile)
  • power hour: does it print a new high/low?
  • power hour continuation
  • Retracement to the midnight open (NY)
  • retracement to the weekly open
  • Intraday FVG: 15-minute candles, mitigation by wick or close
  • fair value gaps
  • IB: initial balance breakout
  • IB: breakout (London session)
  • IB: breakout (Asia session)
  • ORB: opening range breakout
  • opening candle continuation
  • overnight continuation

range & volatility

  • the day's range vs. its own ADR (compressed/normal/expanded regime)
  • Day range vs ADR: 5, 10 or 20 sessions
  • true range (ATR)
  • does yesterday's ATR(14) hold today's true range?
  • Pre-market: high range → high session range?
  • Pre-market: high volume → high session volume?
  • how far price pulls back before confirming the day's direction
  • volume by weekday
  • average volume by session and weekday
  • Volume trends: monthly average, weekly average and year-by-year breakdown
  • volume expansion continuation

macro events

  • CPI: size of the day vs. a normal day
  • NFP: size of the day vs. a normal day
  • FOMC: size of the day vs. a normal day
  • PPI: size of the day vs. a normal day
  • PCE: size of the day vs. a normal day
  • GDP: size of the day vs. a normal day
  • Retail Sales: size of the day vs. a normal day
  • Jobless Claims: size of the day vs. a normal day
  • CPI: event volume vs. baseline
  • NFP: event volume vs. baseline
  • FOMC: event volume vs. baseline
  • PPI: event volume vs. baseline
  • PCE: event volume vs. baseline
  • GDP: event volume vs. baseline
  • Retail Sales: event volume vs. baseline
  • Jobless Claims: event volume vs. baseline
  • CPI: return % before/during/after
  • NFP: return % before/during/after
  • FOMC: return % before/during/after
  • PPI: return % before/during/after
  • PCE: return % before/during/after
  • GDP: return % before/during/after
  • Retail Sales: return % before/during/after
  • Jobless Claims: return % before/during/after
  • NFP Friday vs. a normal Friday — effect on the IB
  • CPI: reaction candle (08:30-08:45 ET) vs. the day's closing direction
  • FOMC day: the move of each 15-minute slot of the regular session

session analysis

  • which session (Asia/London/NY) makes the day's high or low
  • Which session makes the day's high and low (Tokyo 08-17, London 08-16, New York 09:30-16:00)
  • Does New York break London's high, low, both or neither?
  • Does New York break London's range?
  • Does London break Asia's range?
  • does the NY session break the overnight range?
  • How far the New York session extends beyond the same day's Asian session range
  • does NY touch the midpoint (Half Back) of the overnight range?
  • market session correlation
  • London up to the New York open: what does New York do next? (windows that do not overlap)

weekly analysis

  • which day makes the week's high/low
  • previous week's range
  • does the rest of the week break the Monday+Tuesday range?

support & resistance

  • value area: extension beyond the range
  • value area overlap
  • POC migration
  • pivot points
  • fibonacci levels

confluence & intraday windows

  • In which 30-minute window does the day's high or low usually occur?
  • First-hour range of the session (absolute and %), by weekday

open interest

  • Open Interest: trend confirmation (price vs. OI)

liquidity (bid/ask)

  • bid/ask spread: event day vs. baseline

chart patterns

  • inside bars — does it break yesterday's range in the same session?
  • price vs. 50-day SMA, by weekday
  • outside / inside days
  • engulfing candles

performance tracking

  • directional bias
  • Today's color (green/red) conditioned on yesterday's color
  • green & red streaks

live intraday (last ~6 months)

  • adverse excursion after an IB break (stop reference)
  • average volume and range by hour of the day (live)
  • intraday momentum by hour of the day (live)
  • streak of consecutive same-color candles (live)
  • engulfing candles — hit rate by R:R (live, intraday)

TradingView indicators

Initial Balance and opening gap on your own chart, and the historical frequency with which a gap of that size and direction filled, with its sample size beside it. Nine instruments with tables of our own: ES, NQ, RTY, YM, NKD, gold and the 5, 10 and 30 year Treasury futures. The indicator picks the session window from the contract, because the figure describes the window it was measured in: override it by hand and the base rates stop printing rather than lie. Value Area and POC are not drawn by this one but by Key Levels and Session Profile, below. Open source, published on TradingView.

See all the indicators with captures →download perfiltrade-ib-gap-overlay.pine ↓view on TradingView →

Key Levels and Expected Range

The session's reference levels on your chart: high, low, close, Value Area and POC of the prior regular session (profile built from 30-minute periods), the week's and month's, the 15-minute opening range and the Initial Balance. It adds a ladder of distances from the open, from 0.25 to 1.5 times the day's typical move, and next to each rung how often price reached that distance in past sessions, with its n, across 29 futures. Computed on your chart's data; percentages are past frequencies with their n, not signals. Levels are fixed once their period closes: no repainting. Open source, published on TradingView.

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Session Setup State

The state of three readings of the session: the gap (open, filled, or unfilled at the close), the Initial Balance and the opening range (unbroken, broken with price beyond the edge, or broken and back inside). While the gap is open, it shows how many past sessions that had it open at the same time of day filled it before the close, with the rate of all cases as the base and its n; while the Initial Balance is unbroken, how often one of that size broke. A broken range shows only its state, with no percentage, and a rate with fewer than 10 cases is not printed. Past frequencies with their n, not signals. Open source, published on TradingView.

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Session Time-at-Price Profile

A time-at-price profile of the regular session in progress and the one before it: each 30-minute period that traded at a price adds one block, with POC and a 70% Value Area, and optional period letters. It draws structure and gives no signals: the profile of the session in progress changes until the close, and a finished session's profile does not change. Open source, published on TradingView.

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COT Positioning (COT Positioning with Measured Outcomes)

Where is each group positioned, and what happened after similar readings? The weekly net position of the key COT report groups as a % of open interest, its weekly change and a 0-100 index over the last 156 reports. Next to each zone, our study's verdict at 4, 13 and 26 weeks, with its n: whether the later move differed from chance, never a return or its sign. On ES, gold and crude everything comes out equal to chance: it is positioning, not a signal.

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Volatility by Time of Day (Volatility by Time of Day)

How much does each half hour of the session usually move, and how much did it move today? The typical range (median) and the 75th percentile of each half hour, from your own chart's data, against today's range. A table with the latest half hours, the next two with their clock time and the whole session against its typical value. Size only: it says how much each period moved before, not where.

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Open Type (Open Type with Measured Outcomes)

What kind of open did the session have, and what did sessions do after opens like it? Classifies the first 30 minutes of the regular session: Open-Drive, Open-Test-Drive, Open-Rejection-Reverse or Open-Auction, inside or outside yesterday's range. Six outcomes for that open type since 2022 (range, Initial Balance, close inside the prior value area, time of the high or low), each with its n, its interval and the all-sessions value. When the difference does not beat the noise, it says so: same as chance. It never says which way.

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VWAP with Measured Bands (Session VWAP with Measured Band Reach)

How often did price reach each VWAP band, against the same distance from the open? Regular-session VWAP with 1, 2 and 3 standard-deviation bands, computed from the chart's bars. How often each band was reached by 10:30, 12:00, 14:00 and the close since 2022, against the same distance from the open, with its n and verdict. Distance and frequency only: it does not say price returns to the VWAP or stops at a band.

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Macro Release Days (US Macro Release Days with Measured First Hour)

Which US releases are coming, and how much does the first hour usually move after each? Marks the scheduled releases of the coming weeks (CPI, payrolls, PPI, retail sales, GDP, PCE, the Fed and ISM) on the chart at their New York time. For the chart's market, how much the first hour moved against a normal hour and how often the close kept the first reaction, with its n. It never shows which way the reaction went, and the calendar states the date it was built.

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Prior Value Areas and POC (Prior Value Areas and Naked POC Levels)

How often is a prior session's POC or value area traded again, compared with any price at the same distance? Draws the POC, VAH and VAL of up to 10 finished regular sessions; the ones no later session traded again (naked) extend to the right with their date. A table with how often the prior session's POC and value-area edges were traded in the next session and within 5 sessions, against the price at the same distance from the open on the other side, with its n. In most markets the reading is the same as chance: a prior level is traded as often as any price that far away. The indicator says so as it is.

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Poor extremes and single prints (Poor Highs, Poor Lows and Single Prints)

Are poor highs, poor lows and single prints revisited more often than a control at the same distance? Marks poor highs and lows (no tail) and the single-print stretch of up to 10 sessions, and cuts each mark when a later session exceeds or fills it. Draws the profile of the last finished session with those rows in colour. A table with how often a poor extreme was exceeded and a stretch filled in the next session and within 5 sessions, against its control and with its n. In the markets measured, the reading is the same as chance.

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Composite profile (Composite TPO Profile (Multi-Session))

Where did price spend the most time over the last sessions, seen as one? Merges 2 to 10 finished regular sessions, and the session in progress if you want, into one time-at-price profile. POC and 70% value area of the whole, with their lines to the right. It is a drawing of structure: it carries no statistics or percentages.

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Overnight halfback (Overnight Halfback)

How often does the regular session trade the overnight midpoint, compared with a price at the same distance from the open? Computes on your chart the high and low of 18:00 to 9:29 ET and draws their midpoint (the halfback) from the open to the first regular-session bar that trades it; while the night is still going, a dotted line shows its midpoint so far. Draws the control fainter: the price at the same distance from the open, on the other side. A table with how often the regular session traded the halfback and the control, all nights and nights when the open was 0.7% or more away from the prior close, with its n and reading. In ES, NQ, YM and RTY the reading is the same as chance: the halfback is traded as often as any price at that distance.

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Get the daily figure, with its sample size and its caveat. No signals.

Glossary

The same vocabulary shown when you hover over any technical term inside the platform (Term.tsx component), gathered here.

Every glossary concept is developed, with data and its sample, in the learning guides.

ATR (average range)
The average range of recent sessions. It lets you compare sizes across markets and across periods.
Balance vs. Trend
Market Profile's most basic read: if price keeps rotating inside/near the IB, the day is a balance day (rotational). If it extends beyond the IB without coming back, the day is a trend day.
Base Rate
The simple historical frequency of an event: how many times something happened out of all cases, with no opinion or prediction.
Bid/Ask Spread
The difference between the best buy price (bid) and sell price (ask) at a given moment -- it measures real liquidity. A wide spread means market makers are not willing to commit size; moves in that context are more fragile.
Carry
The price difference between one contract and the next, reflecting rates, storage or dividends until expiry.
COT (Commitments of Traders)
The CFTC's weekly report on how positioned large speculators and commercials are. It is context, not a signal.
COT index
A COT group's position from 0 to 100 against its last 3 years: 100 is the highest of the period and 0 the lowest.
Day Type
Market Profile's classification of the session's character (trend, normal, normal variation, double distribution, neutral) based on how the profile developed.
Drawdown
The largest drop in balance from its peak. In many funded accounts, the account floor is measured this way.
Excess (tail)
A tail of two or more single prints at the session extreme: prices traded in only one half hour. It is called rejection when that tail exists; it does not say what price will do next.
Gap
The difference between yesterday's close and today's open. A large unfilled gap suggests imbalance; one that fills quickly suggests the market has already "corrected" the opening mismatch.
Initial Balance (IB)
The price range (high-low) of the first hour of the RTH session (9:30-10:30 ET). Market Profile uses it as the day's reference for balance vs. imbalance.
Market Generated Information
Market Profile's central concept: the market itself (via TPO, volume, rotation) generates the information a trader needs -- there is no need to predict, you have to READ what price is already showing about balance, acceptance and rejection.
Monte Carlo
Reshuffling the same trades many times to see how much the worst stretch and the result change with the order. Hypothetical results.
n (sample size)
How many observations back the percentage shown. An 80% with n=5 is noise; an 80% with n=200 is a real base rate.
NWOG (New Week Opening Gap)
The gap between last week's close and this week's open -- the weekly version of the daily gap fill.
Open Interest (OI)
The total number of open (unclosed) contracts at the end of the day for the front-month contract. Crossed with price direction it gives the classic read: price up + OI up = trend confirmed with new money; price up + OI down = short covering (more fragile).
ORB (Opening Range Breakout)
The price range of the first N minutes (15 by default) after the RTH open -- a shorter version of the Initial Balance.
Outstanding Level
A high, low, settle or Half Back from a previous session that price has not yet touched. These levels are not "forgotten" -- the market tends to come back for them sooner or later.
Percentile
The 75th percentile is the figure that 3 in 4 sessions stayed below. It describes how past cases spread, not what comes next.
POC (Point of Control)
The price with the MOST time/TPOs in the session -- where the market spent the most time trading. It is the day's "center of gravity", not necessarily the closing price.
Profile Shape (P/b/D/double distribution)
P-shape: short and wide on top, narrow tail below (bullish close/short covering). b-shape: the opposite (bearish close/liquidation). D-shape: symmetric bell (balanced day). Double distribution: two value areas separated by a valley -- the day "broke" between two distinct ranges.
R (risk unit)
What you risk on a trade; 2R is twice that risk. It lets you compare trades of different size.
Range midpoint (halfback)
The midpoint of the overnight session's range (Asia and London). The platform measures how far price is from it and how often it was touched, with its n.
Ranking order
First come the patterns that survive the multiple-comparisons correction; within each group, by how far the percentage sits from its own base (what happens on any day in that market). Every row with its n; there is no single score.
Resampling
Drawing many new samples from the same data to measure how much a figure could vary just from the sample it happened to get.
Roll
Volume moving to the next contract before expiry. The historical series joins contracts with a documented rule.
RTH (Regular Trading Hours)
The regular CME index futures session: 9:30am-4:00pm New York time, distinct from Globex's near-24h range.
Same as chance
It happened as often as on comparable days, or the difference does not exceed the noise: not a finding.
Seasonality
How the size or frequency of a move changes with the calendar date; Perfiltrade does not publish returns or shares of up years by date.
Single Prints
Prices traded in only one half hour (a single TPO). They mark zones the session moved through quickly, without spending time there.
TPO (Time Price Opportunity)
Each profile letter marks a half hour when price traded at that level; together they form the session's profile.
VAH (Value Area High)
The upper edge of the Value Area: the highest price of the zone where 70% of the session's time was spent.
VAL (Value Area Low)
The lower edge of the Value Area: the lowest price of the zone where 70% of the session's time was spent.
Value Area
The price range where 70% of the session's volume/time occurred -- the "fair value" zone according to Market Profile.
VWAP
The session's volume-weighted average price. It works as a distance reference, not as a signal.