instrument report · Rates

3-Month SOFR SR3

Historical statistics for 3-Month SOFR over 4,295 observations, from 2022-01-03 to 2026-10-23. Every table shows its sample size (n) next to the percentage.

What sets this instrument apart

  • An upside gap between one day's close and the next day's open fills in SR3 between 87.9% of the time on a Monday (n = 58) and 100.0% on a Tuesday (n = 54). The difference between the days is indistinguishable from chance (two-proportion test, Holm-corrected over the 10 pairs of days), and in a contract trading nearly 24 hours that gap is small, which is why it closes so often: it is not a tradable edge.

Tables

Historical frequencies, not forecasts: each row's sample size sits on the right.

After an inside day, does it break the prior range?

SR3

Swipe to see the sample →

DayBreaksStays insideSessions
Monday67.7%32.3%235
Tuesday71.1%28.9%249
Wednesday79.3%20.7%227
Thursday72.6%27.4%248
Friday81.0%19.0%248

n = 1,207 · 2022-01-03 to 2026-10-23 · historical futures data

Inside day = its high and low fit within the prior day's range. Breaking out is the norm; what informs is how far this instrument sits from that norm.

How close the day's range is to its average

SR3

Swipe to see the sample →

Kind of dayFrequencyDays
Compressed (under 70% of the average range)39.4%484
Normal (70-130%)37.8%464
Expanded (over 130%)22.7%279

n = 1,227 · 2022-01-21 to 2026-10-23 · historical futures data

Compares each session's range with the instrument's own recent average range.

Sessions with a range above the average of the prior 20

SR3

Swipe to see the sample →

DayRange above its averageSessions
Monday23.6%242
Tuesday28.5%246
Wednesday43.9%244
Thursday38.4%245
Friday43.0%244

n = 1,221 · 2022-01-31 to 2026-10-23 · historical futures data

Share of sessions whose range (high minus low) exceeds the average range of the 20 sessions before it. Measures size, not direction.

Monthly snapshot of October 24, 2026.

In the platform

These tables, with every row and refreshed every night, are inside Perfiltrade.

  • Gap fill between calendar daysn = 640
See plans

How to cite this data

The tables on this page are our own work, built from historical futures data. You may reproduce them, translate them or build on them, including commercially, as long as you credit the source and link back to the original page. If you use them, tell us: we like knowing what they get used for.

Licence: CC BY 4.0

Suggested citation:

Perfiltrade (October 24, 2026). 3-Month SOFR (SR3): how much it moves, with its sample. https://www.perfiltrade.com/en/instruments/sr3

The weekly report, every Sunday

One email a week: what moved the macro picture, next week's calendar, rates and COT positioning, and the new study with its sample size. No signals; unsubscribe in one click.

To understand these numbers

These guides explain how each concept is calculated and how to read it without fooling yourself.

Other instruments in the family

Follow SR3 for free, with no end date

On Free, with no end date: the sentence of the day for one market of your choice, 3 alerts by Telegram or webhook and the risk calculator. Trader opens the full tables of all 30 markets.

see plansSee the features →

Historical frequencies describe what happened; they do not guarantee what will happen and are not investment advice.