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instrument report · Metals

Copper HG

Historical statistics for Copper over 23,551 observations, from 2010-06-07 to 2026-09-16. Every table shows its sample size (n) next to the percentage.

What sets this instrument apart

  • The gap between one day's close and the next day's open fills in HG between 80.4% and 96.6% of the time depending on the day. In a contract trading nearly 24 hours that gap is small, which is why it closes so often: it is not a tradable edge.
  • After three or more days in the same direction, HG keeps going that way 48.8% of the time (n = 943). The idea that 'after three days it turns' gets checked here, not assumed.

Tables

Historical frequencies, not forecasts: each row's sample size sits on the right.

Breaking yesterday's range and the closing colour

HG

DayBreaks the high and closes greenBreaks the low and closes redBreaks
Monday66.9%66.1%776
Tuesday74.3%76.9%819
Wednesday69.5%73.5%808
Thursday69.2%70.0%800
Friday71.2%75.9%775

n = 3,978 · 2010-06-07 to 2026-09-16 · exchange data

Session colour = close versus the same day's open. It does not measure whether the close held beyond the broken level. A day that breaks both sides counts in both columns.

Gap fill between calendar days

HG

DayGap upGap downSessions
Monday80.4%80.0%830
Tuesday96.0%99.2%490
Wednesday95.9%97.9%531
Thursday95.9%97.6%521
Friday96.6%98.4%508

n = 2,880 · 2010-06-07 to 2026-09-16 · exchange data

Here the gap is measured between the close and the open of whole calendar days, not against the regular session. In a contract trading nearly 24 hours that gap is small and fills far more often.

How the day closed, by day of the week

HG

DayCloses greenCloses redSessions
Monday49.6%49.5%849
Tuesday49.1%50.6%849
Wednesday49.2%50.4%848
Thursday50.6%48.9%848
Friday52.3%47.0%826

n = 4,220 · 2010-06-07 to 2026-09-16 · exchange data

Close versus the same day's open. If both columns sit near 50%, the day of the week on its own says nothing: that is the most common result and also the most useful to know.

After an inside day, does it break the prior range?

HG

DayBreaksStays insideSessions
Monday80.2%19.8%702
Tuesday85.4%14.6%847
Wednesday84.7%15.3%838
Thursday84.3%15.7%842
Friday85.1%14.9%819

n = 4,048 · 2010-06-07 to 2026-09-16 · exchange data

Inside day = its high and low fit within the prior day's range. Breaking out is the norm; what informs is how far this instrument sits from that norm.

How close the day's range is to its average

HG

Kind of dayFrequencyDays
Compressed (under 70% of the average range)22.7%954
Normal (70-130%)57.9%2,435
Expanded (over 130%)19.4%817

n = 4,206 · 2010-06-25 to 2026-09-16 · exchange data

Compares each session's range with the instrument's own recent average range.

Streaks: does the direction carry into the next day?

HG

StreakContinuesDays
After 1 day in the same direction47.8%2,216
After 2 days45.6%1,060
After 3 days or more48.8%943

n = 4,219 · 2010-06-07 to 2026-09-16 · exchange data

Measures whether the next day closes in the same direction as the streak. Mostly useful for checking whether 'after three days it turns' holds for this instrument.

To understand these numbers

These guides explain how each concept is calculated and how to read it without fooling yourself.

Other instruments in the family

See all instruments →Methodology and data sources →

Historical frequencies describe what happened; they do not guarantee what will happen and are not investment advice.