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instrument report · Currencies

Mexican Peso 6M

Historical statistics for Mexican Peso over 23,327 observations, from 2010-06-07 to 2026-08-28. Every table shows its sample size (n) next to the percentage.

What sets this instrument apart

The gap between one day's close and the next day's open fills in 6M between 80.6% and 98.4% of the time depending on the day. In a contract trading nearly 24 hours that gap is small, which is why it closes so often: it is not a tradable edge.
After three or more days in the same direction, 6M keeps going that way 50.5% of the time (n = 1,024). The idea that 'after three days it turns' gets checked here, not assumed.

Tables

Historical frequencies, not forecasts: each row's sample size sits on the right.

Breaking yesterday's range and the closing colour

Day	Breaks the high and closes green	Breaks the low and closes red	Breaks
Monday	66.2%	75.2%	707
Tuesday	72.5%	74.8%	839
Wednesday	74.1%	66.1%	828
Thursday	67.5%	67.9%	820
Friday	77.3%	64.5%	797

n = 3,991 · 2010-06-07 to 2026-08-28 · exchange data

Session colour = close versus the same day's open. It does not measure whether the close held beyond the broken level. A day that breaks both sides counts in both columns.

Gap fill between calendar days

Day	Gap up	Gap down	Sessions
Monday	80.6%	80.4%	800
Tuesday	98.3%	97.7%	456
Wednesday	98.4%	97.7%	474
Thursday	96.1%	94.7%	486
Friday	98.2%	79.9%	472

n = 2,688 · 2010-06-07 to 2026-08-28 · exchange data

Here the gap is measured between the close and the open of whole calendar days, not against the regular session. In a contract trading nearly 24 hours that gap is small and fills far more often.

How the day closed, by day of the week

Day	Closes green	Closes red	Sessions
Monday	46.6%	51.6%	845
Tuesday	51.4%	47.9%	843
Wednesday	55.0%	44.0%	843
Thursday	51.3%	47.4%	844
Friday	56.1%	42.0%	829

n = 4,204 · 2010-06-07 to 2026-08-28 · exchange data

Close versus the same day's open. If both columns sit near 50%, the day of the week on its own says nothing: that is the most common result and also the most useful to know.

After an inside day, does it break the prior range?

Day	Breaks	Stays inside	Sessions
Monday	74.6%	25.4%	763
Tuesday	87.5%	12.5%	838
Wednesday	86.8%	13.2%	838
Thursday	87.6%	12.4%	825
Friday	87.2%	12.8%	787

n = 4,051 · 2010-06-07 to 2026-08-28 · exchange data

Inside day = its high and low fit within the prior day's range. Breaking out is the norm; what informs is how far this instrument sits from that norm.

How close the day's range is to its average

Kind of day	Frequency	Days
Compressed (under 70% of the average range)	24.0%	1,006
Normal (70-130%)	55.3%	2,317
Expanded (over 130%)	20.7%	867

n = 4,190 · 2010-06-25 to 2026-08-28 · exchange data

Compares each session's range with the instrument's own recent average range.

Streaks: does the direction carry into the next day?

Streak	Continues	Days
After 1 day in the same direction	49.7%	2,124
After 2 days	48.1%	1,055
After 3 days or more	50.5%	1,024

n = 4,203 · 2010-06-07 to 2026-08-28 · exchange data

Measures whether the next day closes in the same direction as the streak. Mostly useful for checking whether 'after three days it turns' holds for this instrument.

To understand these numbers

These guides explain how each concept is calculated and how to read it without fooling yourself.

Other instruments in the family

See all instruments →Methodology and data sources →

Historical frequencies describe what happened; they do not guarantee what will happen and are not investment advice.